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Posted by: Arnie C at October 19, 2006 2:47 AM
Its important to remember that a slowdown in Q2 and Q3 were entirely expected due to the highly seasonal nature of Skype. We will see growth materially increase this quarter back to around 40% Q/Q which would imply Q4 Revenue of about $70 million to reach total 2006 revenue of $200 million. I am confident Skype will reach this milestone.
Posted by: aaytch at October 19, 2006 6:01 AM
If we take the number of 136 million reported and divide it by 24 hours we get 5.67 million online at any one time. That is very close to the number actually being reported online by the Skype RSS feed (average at any one time). So, the average daily usage for the typical Skype user is about an hour .
Now imagine will happen when those 136 million registered users increase their average daily online time to 2 hours.... or more. This will surely happen as mobile wireless networks become more widespread and as the various Skype features become more and more essential to users' daily tasks.
Posted by: Rick at October 19, 2006 7:28 AM
Thanks for the numbers. The user numbers are very impressive, though I'm not sure if we really know what they represent.
The revenue growth is a bit slower than anticipated, but in the long-term it isn't of dire consequence yet. What is of consequence, it Skype's business model. I suppose much has to be considered with regards to the EBay mash-up, which is difficult to measure. Though, I don't think it's particularly beautiful.
Do we know how Skype will generate significant revenues in the future? Will advertising ever play into the picture? Will enterprise systems be a source of major revenue? Will Skype open up their network and protocols to enlarge their ecosystem? What will change to enhance the business model? These are the big questions.
Mobile phone royalites are going to be extremely competitive soon. The devices are limited in use today and in the forseeable future. Other IM's will soon compete with more familiar brand, albeit Skype is more advanced in features. Carriers will begin deploying their own UMA and dual-mode devices soon. Many factors to consider for Skype's financial future.
Posted by: Jim Courtney at October 19, 2006 7:29 PM
This is a test as I have had some reports that "Comments are not allowed". As a disciple of Shel Israel's and Robert Scoble's Naked Convertsations we want and appreciate your comments and feedback.
Update: In the Comments Preview I notice there are some (excellent) comments getting through.
If there continue to be any "Comments" access problems let us know and Phil (who manages the technical side of Skype Journal) will look into it.
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