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Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Skype's 2009q1 showed IPO-worthy growth and profits

CORRECTION: Skype's year-over-year revenue growth is 38% after correcting for foreign exchange. We reported 28%. 

eBay announced quarterly reports today. Skype did well. Activity continues to go up, revenue goes up, people keep joining at a faster rate.

Skype's Freemium Rate (the blue line below) holds steady, showing people are still willing to pay to talk, finding value in Skype's paid services.

Minutes talked over time and Skype Freemium Rate

26.5 billion minutes called last quarter. 23.6 billion minutes free Skype-to-Skype, 2.9 billion minutes Skype-to-PSTN. 1 in 8 people paid for Skype calling (Freemium Rate: 8.1).

Revenues continue to rise at a rate about the same as new users trying Skype.  

Skype Revenutes and New Accounts

Revenue: $153.2 million

  • $613 million/year run rate
  • 21% year-over-year growth in dollars, 38% yoy foreign exchange neutral
  • $143 million from transactions, $10 million from marketing and other revenue
  • 80% from international (non-USA) sources

37.9 million new accounts

  • 416,484 new accounts per day
  • 443.2 million accounts (cumulative)

simultaneous online

Skype reports non-mobile users connected to the Skype cloud (Skype dialtone) throughout the day. On weekdays, this number is now ranging between 16-17 million at peak and 9-10 million. It rolls as different time zones come online. This puts the number of active users at between 100 and 150 million by Skype Journal estimates.

Simultaneous Online milestonesThe growth in online users has been growing in a straight line for years. There's a summer slow-down for seasonality, but Skype could be at a weekday peak of 18 million simultaneous by 2009 year-end.

Skype is on page 16 of eBay's slides below.

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Call me at +1-510-455-4384, Skype me, follow @skypejournal and @Phil Wolff.
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1 Comments:

At April 23, 2009 12:24 PM , Anonymous VoIP Supply said...

Great work here Phil. I think you'd be hard pressed to find another VoIP provider out there with the type of growth that Skype is showing...not just in subscribers, but profitability.

They are certainly IPO/stand-alone early and are one of the remaining VoIP companies that still have the "wow" factor for folks (including me).

 

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